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So far this week we have seen commodities move sideways with traders and investors waiting for the US Dollar to rally or continue dropping, which will trigger the commodities to move. I have provided some below charts showing where prices currently stand.
GLD Gold Trading Fund – Weekly Chart
As you can see on this weekly chart gold has been consolidating for the past 5 months. This bullish pennant pattern is hinting that prices will breakout to the up side in the coming weeks. If for some reason we see the USD rally then I expect to see the price of gold move down as traders rush to sell their gold bullion. I continue to watch and wait for the next buy signal for gold.
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SLV Silver Trading Fund – Weekly Chart
Silver has two patterns forming here. The first is shown with the blue trend line which is a head & shoulders. This is a bearish pattern and points to much lower silver.
The second pattern is pennant using the black trend lines. This is a bullish pattern and points to higher prices. As you can see silver has much more time to consolidate before it reaches the apex. I continue to watch silver on the daily chart for an early buy signal.
UNG Natural Gas Trading Fund – Daily Chart
Nat gas looks to be finding support at the $11.50 level. This could provide a great short term trade for those active traders looking to grab a quick 5-10% gain if the price starts to rally intraday. Overall natural gas has been trading down and sideways.
USO Crude Oil Trading Fund - Weekly Chart
Crude oil has a very nice looking chart. The bullish pennant is pointing to a much higher price. Currently the price is stuck under the June resistance level but appears to be holding up nicely. Any week now I expect to see a sharp rally or a sharp sell off. Let’s continue to watch the price unfold.
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Technical Traders Conclusion:
The analysis above allows you to see that gold, silver and crude oil are all trading in a bullish pennant. I am watching the daily charts very closely for a buy signal. Waiting for my low risk buy signal is important because it confirms momentum and bullish price action before we put our money to work. These commodities could easily roll over and sell down quickly which is why I always follow my trading strategy to help avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the trade.
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Natural gas is currently over sold in my opinion and ready for a bounce. If the price starts to move higher tomorrow (above Wednesdays high) then you could go long for a 1-5 day trade. There is a good chance it will provide 5-10% return, but be sure to take profits quickly as it is just a bounce (dead cat bounce). If the price drops below Wednesdays low then I would not be holding it any longer.
If you would like to receive my free weekly trading analysis or receive my trading signals please visit my website at: www.GoldAndOilGuy.com
Chris Vermeulen
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Chris Vermeulen is Founder of the popular trading site TheGoldAndOilGuy.com. There he shares his highly successful, low-risk trading method. For 6 years Chris has been a leader in teaching others to skillfully trade in gold, oil, and silver in both bull and bear markets. Subscribers to his service depend on Chris' uniquely consistent investment opportunities that carry exceptionally low risk and high return.
E-Mail: Chris@TheGoldAndOilGuy.com
Please visit my website for more information.
http://www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com
This article is intended solely for information purposes. The opinions are those of the author only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment/trading decision. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.
Information, charts or examples contained in this lesson are for illustration and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. We do not and cannot offer investment advice. For further information please read our .
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