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Technical View of What’s Next for Precious Metals, Stocks & the Dollar
*NEW*-
Last weeks price action unfolded just as we expected. Money poured into stocks with the focus being on small cap, banks and technology stocks. The fact that these sectors are showing strength while utilities, health care and consumer staples lag is a good sign that investors are once again taking risks in the market.
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U.S. Jobs Data Propels Crude Oil Above $80 a Barrel
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Jobs data indicating that U.S. economic recovery might be picking up steam finally pushed crude oil futures decisively over the stubborn $80 a barrel threshold. Nymex’s benchmark West Texas Intermediate settled Friday at $81.50 a barrel, a seven-week high, after topping $82 in intraday trading.
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Gold, Silver & Stock Indices on the Verge of Rolling Over?
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This week has been playing out as we expected. Last week we saw the market rally on light volume into a resistance zone on the daily chart. Light volume rallies are always a warning sign, much like the “Calm before a Storm”.
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Intraday & Swing Trading Gold and Stocks – How To Use Multiple Time Frames For Setups
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A couple months ago I started providing more of my intraday charts in hopes to educate traders on current market conditions so they feel like they are “in the zone” for trading. It’s crucial to understand the intraday moves and volume levels if you want to be consistently profitable trader.
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Weekend Gold, Silver, Oil & Index Charts
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Three weeks ago on February 5th, we saw an extremely high level of fear in the market with selling vs. buying volume at a 9:1 ratio. We note that in 2009 this extreme level of fear occurred at the bottom of each significant pullback.
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A Cyclical Have Metals and Stocks Bottomed Yet?
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Everyone is wondering if gold, silver and the indexes have bottomed after last week’s heavy selling. To put things into perspective there were over 30 sell orders for every 1 buy order at the NYSE.
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A Cyclical Bear Should Not Be Feared If You Trade It Correctly!
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Back on January 18th, I wrote an article indicating that all requirements for a market peak had been met. Articles and prior forecasts can be read by clicking HERE.
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Crude Oil Hits Ceiling in Week as Hedge Funds Attack Euro
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Crude oil broke through the $80 a barrel ceiling repeatedly during the week but kept falling back as hedge funds placed big bets on the Euro’s decline.
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Tide Turns As Kurds Push For Oil Law Amid South’s Sudden Bright Future
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While the Iraqi government has made overtures to its Kurdish counterpart in the north to end an oil standoff, much remains in doubt without an actual law keeping the industry in check - rules which this time the Kurds are pressing for rather than Baghdad.
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Crude Oil Prices Take a Dive After a Week of Gains
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Crude oil prices took a dive on Friday after a week of gains from U.S. blizzards were undercut by another move in China to tighten monetary policy.
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Gold & SP500 Psychology: They Bail, We Buy
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Understanding market psychology is crucial for a trader’s success. But so many people get caught up in the daily market volatility, media coverage and “noise” of the trading environment, it’s almost impossible to not think and trade in agreement with the majority of traders.
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Where Will Gold Bottom in this Corrective Cycle?
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Around two months ago I advised my Partners to look for Gold to drop to the 1040-1070 area in US dollars.
This followed my projection in early August of a Gold rally from 900 to 1250 before the next top, and I was close as we hit $1,225 and rolled over.
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Trends for Stocks & Commodities: Gold, Oil & Indexes
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Stocks and metals have been on a steady rise this week. The US Dollar drifting lower has helped to add fuel to the oversold bounce in equities and metals we are seeing.
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The long and Short of Metals and Oil
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In my December 11th article “A Seasonal Look at Gold and Oil” the gold correction was just beginning its second week. At that time I speculated on where gold would pullback to as far as price goes and said:
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10 Geopolitical & Economic Predictions for 2010
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A great - and still growing - divergence appeared in 2009 between public statements by leaders and their public performance. The politicized, romanticized theater of increasingly populist “democratic” leaders and media seemed to be of a different planet from activities taking place in the real world.
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Despite strong GDP Growth Energy Prices Sink Lower
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Crude oil futures slipped below $73 a barrel for West Texas Intermediate late Friday as a temporary boost from strong GDP figures failed to last and let prices sink to a one-month low.
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Mid-Week Charts: Gold, Silver, Oil, Nat Gas and SP500
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The stock indexes have been trading very choppy making it difficult for swing/trend traders. It’s during times like this when seasoned traders rise above the herd of average traders.
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OilPrice.com Oil Market Summary for 01/18/2010 – 01/22/2010
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New measures by Chinese authorities to curb bank lending reversed a rally in energy prices early in the week, bringing West Texas Intermediate futures down more than 4% in the second half of the week to below $75 a barrel by Friday.
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5th Wave of Market Advance is Tiring Out
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It’s time for a review of the broader market indices and possible implications for traders and investors: This analysis may prove controversial, but I tend to make big picture calls at critical junctures.
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OilPrice.com Oil Market Summary for 01/11/2010 – 01/15/2010
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Crude oil futures fell for five straight sessions as warmer weather in the U.S. dispelled forecasts of unusually low temperatures and allowed concerns about demand to come to the fore.
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Commodity Futures Are Trading At Pivot Points
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The commodity futures charts and gold precious metal stocks have be trading with increased volatility as they bounce between support and resistance levels on the daily and hourly charts.
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Regulators Seek to Throw Light on Hedge Fund Impact in Energy Trading
- Do hedge funds have an impact on energy trading?
While the answer might seem intuitive, the debate as to whether they actually do has come to resemble...
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Nonfarm Payrolls This Friday Could Dampen Commodities
- Overall this week has not been that exciting. Volume is below average as the big money traders slowly get back into action and wait for Fridays economic data to come out.
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10 Days of Stocks & Commodities
- It’s been a great year as we head into the final few trading sessions. The past several weeks the indexes have not done much of anything which is why we are now in cash.
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Holiday Gold, Oil and Index Trading
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Last week the market fell into its regular holiday tradition of light volume, as institutions and big traders enjoyed the holidays thus allowing prices to drift higher. We still have one more week of light trading volume before this year and holiday season is officially over.
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Iraq Oil Output to Rival Saudi Arabia, if…
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BAGHDAD - What was once considered a pipe-dream could become reality: after decades of dictatorship, war and international sanctions, Iraq’s massive oil reserves are set to be tapped proper and the country once known for two overflowing rivers could be crowned oil king.
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Gold Trends, Hot Commodities and the Major Indexes, What’s Next?
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Gold has been leading the market for almost a year. Last week gold and gold stocks were trading at support looking ready to bottom but as you will see in my charts below, both broke support on heavy volume.
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Major Powers Follow Different Paths
to Same Energy Security End Game
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China’s completion of an historic natural gas pipeline with Kazakhstan bypassing Russia this week tightens the Asian behemoth’s grip on energy resources needed to fuel a burgeoning economy, a desire also forcing it on a quest for oil and gas wealth in other corners of the globe.
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A seasonal look at Gold and Oil
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Over the course of the past three months, gold has taken the lead from the crude oil market is a normal autumn seasonal pattern. Granted, Oil held up longer than usual and gold rallied longer, but the seasonal trends are still playing.
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Gold : A Minor Pullback or a Major Correction?
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Wow – what a week it was in the world of Gold! After charging above $1,200 on the front-month futures contract earlier in the week, Gold finally finished the week on a very weak note, closing below $1,150, which was right above the low established a week earlier in the wake of the Dubai debt debacle. Clearly, Gold is beginning a trend reversal on a daily-based time
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Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions Highlight Kazakhstan’s Uranium Potential
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One bonus of the global recession is that it wiped a lot of incompetent hedge fund managers and energy speculators from the canyons of Wall Street. As the Gordon Gecko sycophants regroup and look for the next Big Thing, maximizing profit while...
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Solar Energy Showing Promising Signs After Years of Disappointment
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After years of over promising and under delivering, the solar Industry is finally starting to show some interesting developments which have the potential to make solar power as cheap as fossil fuel on a cost-per-watt basis within five years.
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Gold, Silver and Oil Commodities Out Perform their Equities?
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Since the market crash in late 2008 we have seen investors favor quality stocks that pay dividends and have steady earnings. Fast growth companies and equities with physical resources like commodities have also done well.
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Precious Metals & Energy ETF Trading Report
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So far this week has been generous with our commodity ETFs moving higher, other than natural gas which is clearly in a bear market. Each of the...
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Can precious metals keep on flying?
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Are you sold on gold? The precious metal outperformed every major equity index in the world in 2008. The question is, can gold—and other precious metals—keep on flying? Or would buying today be buying high and selling low?
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HETF Commodity Trading Analysis & Charts
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Commodities continue to perform well as the US dollar tests the October lows. If we step back and take a look at the weekly charts of the gold, silver, oil and natural gas ETFs we can get a better feel for what to expect in the coming week.
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Commodity Report for Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas
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Everyone is talking about commodities as the place to be in the coming months. I tend to agree, but it is still important to know where each commodity is trading to maximize returns and reduce risk.
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Eight months into the rally, what is next for the market and gold?
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We have come a long way since early March of this year. After bottoming at 666, the SP 500 Index has rallied as high as 1101 at its recent peak pricing. I wrote about the market bottoming and my outline for a bull rally prediction back in late February. My targets at the time were 10,400 on the Dow and 1140 on the SP 500 index. Since we came within 3% of those targets, I believe the next leg for the market is a corrective movement to the downside.
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Are Gold, Oil and the S&P500 having a Seasonal Pivot Trading Low?
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The last week of October was something else. Heavy fiscal year end selling for mutual funds seemed to put a damper on good news and push stocks and commodities lower. October is historically a tough
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Gold Trading: Playing the Moving Average and Momentum Ratios
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For those enamored of the current bullish moves in the Gold market, there’s still plenty of reason the believe that the yellow Gold bus has more than enough gas in its tank to make the trip up to the next important Fibonacci extension ratio without too much difficulty.
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Silver Stocks: Outperforming the S&P 500 by 3 to 1
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Everyone would agree – the broad markets have made an astounding turnaround in 2009, with the S&P 500 index up as much as 65% from the March 2009 lows to the recent highs made just a few days ago.
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The Gold and Oil rally –
a long term look
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When you get right down to it, no matter what techniques one might rely on for his investment decisions there is one thing that they all have in common. In order to be successful an investor has to be on the right side of the longer term trends.
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Precious Metals, Oil & Nat Gas Trend Charts
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Commodities so far this week have not changed much. But I can point out a few things for us to watch Thursday and Friday.
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Precious Metals, Oil & Nat Gas Trend Charts
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Commodities continue to climb with several commodities making new highs for the year. The equities market continues to push higher with 3rd quarter earnings coming in better than ex...
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How Far Are We Into The Gold and Oil Uptrend?
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Gold and Oil, along with stocks, have performed well in the past week as continued weakness in the US dollar has prompted investors to chase asset reflation trades. Is it too late to get into Gold and/or Oil? One way to find out how far we are into the full move is to use Investor Business Daily’s (IBD) rules on counting...
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Gold Mining Stocks: Major Uptrend in Progress
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Although they’re more volatile than Gold, if you can position yourself on the ‘right’ side of their dominant trend, investments in fundamentally sound Gold mining shares can be even more profitable than investing in physical Gold.
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Dow Jones Commodity Index Fund Trading Opportunity
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Dow Jones Commodity Index Fund – This index tracks the entire commodity market as a whole. Over the past two years we have seen commodities drop in value substantially.
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Commodities in Final Stages of
Basing – Gold, Silver, Oil, Gas
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Commodities have and continue to be a fantastic trading vehicle for those who can stomach volatility. After last year's market crash most commodities pulled back to normal if not lower than normal trading ranges. This allowed us to enter the market at 10+ year lows for natural gas.
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Gold Stocks, Silver, Oil, Natural Gas
& SPX Trading Newsletter
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The market continues to whipsaw traders out of positions as volatility rises. I have put together a few charts to show you where each of our commodities are trading along with the SPX (SP500 index).
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GLD, SLV, UNG, USO ETF Trading Charts
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Commodity ETF trading charts allow us to track and trade the underlying commodities with ease. I have provided a few daily charts to show were current commodity prices and chart pattern are at.
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Gold Stocks on a Daily, Weekly
& Monthly Buy Signal
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Gold is back in the spot light as it flirts with the $1000 per ounce level. This closely watched commodity looks as thought it will rocket higher because of the multiple trading time frames indicating breakouts.
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Commodity Newsletter Report for
Gold, Silver, Gas & Oil
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Another crazy week in commodities with precious metals and precious metal stocks surging higher on heavy volume, while natural gas and crude oil move lower. Money seems to be rotating out of energy and into precious metals.
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Mid-Week Gold, Silver,
Nat Gas & Oil Update
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So far this week we have seen commodities move sideways with traders and investors waiting for the US Dollar to rally or continue dropping, which will trigger the commodities to move. I have provided some below charts showing where prices currently stand.
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The Precious Metals &
Energy Report
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Precious metals like gold and silver appear to be forming a bullish pennant formation, which generally leads to higher prices. Currently the US dollar is hovering around a support level, which is the 76- 79 range. Only time will tell if the US$ breaks down sending gold to new highs in the coming months.
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Gold, Silver, Natural
Cycle-based Market Timing
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Traders today have a monumental task. Never before has there been so much volatility in the markets as we see today. Because of this reality, greater precision in market timing is a strong prerequisite to compete, survive and profit in these markets.
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Gold, Silver, Natural
Gas & Oil Traders Update
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I hope everyone had a great weekend and is now ready for another week of trading. I have put together a few simple charts to show you what we could see with prices in the near term.
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Gold, Silver, Oil & Gas
Technically Speaking
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Commodities continue to trade at their pivot points while the pressure rises!
As mentioned in my last report precious metals are trading at support, this is referred to as a pivot point.
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Crude, Gas, and Gold Seasonal Update
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Commodity speculators and investors (women excluded) can learn a lot by observing the purchasing habits of the “woman of the house.” Obviously it’s not in all cases, and the statement is a generalization of the observations that some of us have which as you’ll read is very complimentary and helps me make a point.
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Gold, Crude Oil or Natural Gas?
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In the markets of today, investors and speculators alike have the ability to participate in a lot more than company stocks. With the advent of ETF’s, market participants can now diversify into the realm of currencies, gold, crude oil, grains, agric...
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Gold, Silver, Oil & Natural Gas Trading Analysis
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The rising tide lifts all boats, and that is exactly what we saw last week. Gold, silver, oil, natural gas, and stocks all put in a solid bounce last week.
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GOLD Analysis & Strategy 18th of July 2009
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Compared to the price two weeks ago nothing much has happened in the goldmarket. After a short drop down to 905US$ Gold moved up again to the rising 50d MA (US$ 938,03). Short covering, a weaker dollar and the strong rally in the broader stock market were responsible for the US$35 gain in the last 5 trading sessions.
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Which Is Shining More – Copper or Gold?
July 19, 2009
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For any investor trying to sum up the copper situation, he/she must come to grips with many conflicting forces all vying to affect its price. The mass media continues to send signals that the worst is over and recovery is at hand in the global market place. Meanwhile some pretty savvy analysts on the internet are telling us to hold on to our buttocks as the next wave of credit
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The Technical Trader Dow, Gold, Silver, Oil & Nat Gas Charts
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The technical trader looks at the market much differently than most. While many investors are confused when looking at charts which have been marked up by a technician, more experienced traders look at these charts as a map.
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What’s up with Natural Gas?
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After a vicious crash in energy over the last year of close to 80%, Crude Oil has made a comeback in the last few months as it doubled from its lows of slightly above 30 to the 70 dollar area. Disconcerting to energy bulls of natural gas, such has not been the case for this commodity. While many site inventory levels that are way too high and a drop in consumption, the same could be said of Crude Oil.
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Trading Commodity Update for GLD, SLV, USO & UNG
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Last week commodities moved higher as investors started buying into the recent pullback in prices. This is a healthy sign for the overall market. This is a quick update for gold, silver, oil and natural gas short term traders.
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Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas
Active Trading Report
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Gold has provided two excellent trades for us this year; both had less than 3% downside risk. With any luck we will have another trade soon. Gold has been forming a large reverse head and shoulder pattern since early March and currently trying to form the right shoulder.
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The Precious Metal & Energy
Trading Report
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We continued to see precious metals under pressure last week. The US dollar moved firmly higher on Friday which sent gold & silver plummeting lower. Oil continued to drift to new multi month highs while natural gas moved sideways.
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The Gold, Silver,
Oil & Nat Gas Report
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With so much happening in the market, emotions flying high and from being blinded by fear and greed many investors are wondering What do I do now?
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Silver Is Starting to
Look Dull at Current Prices
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The technical outlook on the silver market does not look all that strong when looking from a distance. I like to keep eye on the longer term trend lines for possible support and resistance levels which are easily missed if you only follow the daily charts.
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Gold, Silver & Oil on
the Run Technically Speaking
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The charts below quickly give you a visual as to where each commodity is trading in relation to intermediate and short term support and resistance levels, chart patterns and trend lines.
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- Active Trader Breakout
Signals for Gold -
Gold, Silver and Oil breaks out to new multi week highs and shows signs of more strength to come. The charts below show both weekly and daily trading analysis pointing to higher prices for these commodities.
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- Gold & Silver’s
Bull Market Correction & Oil’s Stuck in a Barrel -
Gold and silver have had one hell of a run in the recent days. Both looked like they were topping weeks ago but recent bad news hit the wires making investors buy gold like the stock market is about to go under.
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- The Mid-Week Gold,
Oil & Dow Report -
We had a slow start to the week with prices drifting sideways and upward on below average volume. Wednesday the market put in a nice rally with small and mid cap stocks leading the way higher.
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- Gold Signals Gone Wild -
Gold Signals seem to be popping up everywhere this week in our collection of gold exchange traded funds. This is a quick gold sector updated on the current price action of some of the best gold exchange traded funds.
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- Gold ETF - The Gold ETF Experience -
Gold ETF Trading - Taking advantage of the gold market using the GLD ETF to generate consistent profits in any market condition.
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- Oil Stocks Will Continue To Under Perform The Oil ETF -
Oil stocks will under perform crude oil and the oil etf for the next several years - but Energy Juniors will outperform both. The market is now setting up for a great entry point into junior oil Stocks!
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- Gold Stocks - The Next
Winners -
Gold Stocks - A contrarian view on where the next Gold Stock winners will emerge.
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- Are Interest Rates Fated To Rise? -
There is one path in investing that is sure to lead to ruin. It’s a dangerous path because it lacks one critical ingredient for success – thought! The path we are speaking about is called “following the consensus”.
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- Dr Copper says Shallow Recession -
There is an old market saying that nobody rings a bell at the bottom. Case in point, the industrial metals complex. Whilst the entire world has been fixated on slowdowns, recessions and deflations, a funny thing has been happening down at the London Mercantile Exchange.
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- Junior Gold Miners are
Pulling Out of the Station -
Large Cap Gold Stocks are up over 20% since their December lows. Does it mean that it's too late to jump onboard? Hardly, we think a lot more upside awaits if you know where to look.
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- Gold & Silver Shine
And Broad Market Meltdown -
Monday the NASDAQ 100, SP500 and Dow all gapped higher with average volume above the recent consolidation levels. This appears to be the same setup we had on November 4th which was an exhaustion gap followed buy heavy selling down to new multi year lows.
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- Gold Equities Will Lead The Way -
The US dollar had a big rally from July until just a few weeks ago as the dollar started an avalanche slide putting in a small dead cat bounce last week. Friday the USD closed on a 3 day low and from looking at the daily chart the beginning of another downward slide should push gold prices higher in the near future.
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- How to Trade Gold & Oil –
Special Report -
Gold Trading: Gold closed higher for the week with very low volume due to the holidays. It is difficult to get a feel for where stocks and commodities are headed in the near term because of this light volume.
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- Which Shines More Gold,
Silver or Oil -
Last week gold and silver remained in a trading range moving sideways, while crude oil had a large pullback on very heavy volume. Below are charts which will show where these
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Video on How to Day Trade Spot Gold & the Indexes
*NEW*-
Last week was an exciting one for intra-day traders who follow the spot gold and major stock indexes. Actually, since early November 2009 the market has been performing very well for us.
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Gold, Silver, Oil and Natural Gas Mid-Week Trading Charts
*NEW*-
So far this week has been pretty slow. Large cap stocks continue to lag the market which can be observed by looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average which still has room to move higher before breaking the January high.
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How Much Higher for the Indices, Gold and the Dollar?
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Last week was exciting as we saw stocks and gold close above the February highs which confirms we are in a new up trend. The question everyone is wondering is:
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Iraqi Elections Likely To Fuel Ethnic Tensions, Further Delay Access To Kirkuk's Reserves
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The elections in Iraq on March 7, 2010, are likely to serve as an important indicator of the prospects for a resolution of the long-running dispute over the administration of the ethnically mixed and resource-rich province of Kirkuk in the north of the country.
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Yemen’s Push Into the Gas Sector Fails to Stimulate Great Excitement and Raises Disturbing Questions
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With Yemen’s oil revenues plunging, the government’s push into the gas market seemed like an economic saving grace for a state wracked by poverty and terrorism, but analysts warn more thought should be given to carving out the country's post-petroleum era.
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Gold & SP500’s One Candle Rebound To Riches
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It’s been a great year for trading!
So far February, last week and this week have being absolutely amazing for both swing traders and intraday traders.
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Renewed Battle for the Falkland Islands Suits the
Embattled British, Argentine Leaders, and Others
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The artificially-engendered revival of the dispute, which began in February 2010 between Argentina and the United Kingdom over the sovereignty of the Falkland Islands in the South Atlantic, has been portrayed as a posturing by embattled Argentine Pres.
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Feb 27th- Market Rallies Getting Weaker and Weaker
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This is a commentary on the SP 500 index and the broader NYSE index. As I often mention here for Partners, we try to work in probabilities and then plan accordingly with our investing and trading.
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Stock Market Trends for Indexes and Precious Metals
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This report is a mix of both current market action and educational material on how stocks and commodities trend (move).
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Weekend Gold, Silver, Nag Gas & Oil Trading Report
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Last week ended on a positive note with stocks and commodities pushing higher into Friday’s close. The market overall is looking very unstable here and this week I figure there will be some big price movement.
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Oil Market Summary for 02/16/2010 to 02/20/2010
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An easing of the crisis in Europe gave energy markets a firm tone last week that enabled crude oil futures to gain nearly 8% amid mixed economic news and some concerns about supply.
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Libya Courting Oil & Gas Investors
but Faces a Tough Sell Following Recent Government Fiascos
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The Libyan government has been sounding off lately about boosting the profile of its oil and gas market, but it’s questionable whether international companies will ignore the government’s missteps in the industry - not to mention the recent lackluster energy finds - and keep injecting money into the North African country.
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How to Trade Intra-Day Gold & SP500 with Low Risk Setups
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Last week was an incredible week for trading the intraday charts. With rising volume and volatility prices began to move up or down for extended periods of time allowing traders to profit from these powerful short term price swings.
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Oil Prices Fall Sharply as General Market Sells Off
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After starting the week on a firmer note, oil prices fell sharply toward the end of the week in a general market sell-off as investors sought the dollar as a safe haven amid worries about European Union economies.
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As the Middle East Peace Talks Hit Deadlock,
Talk of Israel Joining the European Union Increases
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The Middle East peace talks are at a deadlock. Negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians to move ahead with the plan established by the so-called Quartet – the US., U.N., EU and Russia -- have faltered and come to a complete standstill.
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Educational ETF’s, Futures & CFD’s
Low Risk Trading Setups Explained
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I thought I would put this more detailed report on finding and trading low risk setups for gold, silver, oil indexes etc.... In short it does not matter what time frame you trade with or if you trade exchange traded funds, futures contracts or CFD’s (contract of difference).
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Are Precious Metals Melting or Firming Up
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The past two months have been tough on the precious metals sector. We saw precious metals lead the market higher all of last year until December 2009 when prices plummeted as the US Dollar started to bounce. The continued rise in stocks indicated an extreme overbought condition and alerted us that a sharp pullback was going to take place.
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Gazprom: Angel or Demon?
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Gazprom faces regular opprobrium for its bullying ways of using energy as a pressure and political tool. Seen by some, mostly Russians, as the symbol of a successful and strong Russia, others see it as a dominating juggernaut, economic right arm of the Kremlin implementing, or should we say, imposing its policies by using energy as a weapon.
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Are Commodities and the Dow Index Dead?
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It was a heart pounding week on Wall Street as traders and investors locked in profits during 2010’s first round of earnings season. While it is normal to see selling of shares after good news hits the market, last weeks melt down was over exaggerated and for good reasons.
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The “Weak”end Trading Report
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It’s been a crazy week for stock and futures traders as the market moved up and down like a yoyo, finally closing down sharply on the week.
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Choppy SP500, Gold Stock Meltdown and Dollar Strengthens
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For the past few weeks I have been expecting the market to correct. By looking at the price action on the weekly and daily charts we can see that there has not been any real pullback since November and that is important to note.
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How to Trade Gold and other Commodity ETF’s
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Whether you are trading stocks, ETFs or futures, technical analysis is the preferred choice for short term traders. Technical analysis in short is the study of price and volume movements on charts.
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Silver Futures Reversal: Can the 2008 Highs Be Taken Out?
- Silver bulls have been rewarded for their patience during the recent sell off with a very strong bullish weekly reversal bar, one that also forms one end of a very nice up trend line (see dotted blue line on the ...
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Gold Stocks & The Market Forecast for 2010
- I wrote a post here for ATP called “The bull case is not dead yet”. This ended up as an article on 321Gold.com, which you can review here: Bull Not Dead Article- Banister. I stuck my neck out, which I love to do once in awhile when the contrarian mood...
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Spot 60 Minute Trends for Gold, Oil, Nat Gas, and Indexes
- Welcome back everyone! It’s time to buckle up and get ready for another exciting year of trading.
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Gold: Is a Minor Rebound Due?
- Although December’s heavy sell off in the Gold (and Silver) market confirmed a significant set of monthly and weekly cycle highs, highs that may take this metal some time to meet/exceed, there now appears to be
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Year End Commodity & ETF Trading Signals
- Well, here we are with only hours left before the year is over. Virtually every investment is up other than the US dollar.
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Is the Nabucco Pipeline Worth the Projected $11.4 Billion
- Inside Beltwayistan, a number of Bushevik oil patch zombies still roam the recession-blasted landscape mindlessly chanting their Caspian mantra, “Happiness is multiple pipelines” - with the caveat that they flow westwards and bypass both Russia and Iran.
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China Secures Gas Supply From
Turkmenistan: Who’s the True Winner?
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On December 14, 2009, an inauguration took place that deserves more attention than it received because it marks an economic power shift to the benefit of three Central Asian countries and China and to the detriment of Russia. The presidents of China - Hu Jintao, ...
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Gold: Expecting More Downside
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So, we’ve seen a substantial correction in the Gold market over the past couple of weeks, and that means that Gold is now ready to rocket higher to fresh highs, isn’t it? Probably not, at least not right away, and patient and wise traders/investors will want to wait a bit to see what Gold does as it interacts with any number of key support levels.
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What’s Next for Stocks, Gold, Silver, Oil & Nat Gas?
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The past three weeks have been interesting to watch as the Dow (DIA ETF) has broadened causing traders to be shaken in and out of positions. Commodities have been under pressure as the US dollar has risen. Below are some charts of these investments and what I think could happen in the next couple weeks.
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What’s Happening with Iraq’s Oil
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As multinational military forces have left Iraq, international petroleum companies have eagerly descended - seduced by the long-term potential of vast oil reserves off-limits to foreigners for decades.
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ETF Trading Gold, Silver, Oil, Natural Gas and the Index
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Etf trading has made it so easy for traders and investors to get maximum exposure to the entire market without the high fees of mutual funds and manager. There are now etfs covering almost every investment type whether it’s stocks, indexes, sectors, commodities, bonds, real estate, currencies etc…
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The Dow, Dollar & Gold – What Goes Down Must Come Up
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This year has been a very exiting time for traders and investors. We have seen a steady climb in prices with controlled pullbacks in the broad market and gold.
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Weak Dollar Boosts Commodities - So What’s Next?
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Another fantastic week for precious metals as the US dollar continues its slide lower. Energy commodities like oil and natural gas are having some difficulty finding buyers.
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Distorted IEA Oil Reserve Figures Create Biofuel Opportunities In "White Gold" Region of Central Asia
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The recent revelations of a International Energy Administration whistleblower that the IEA may have distorted key oil projections under intense U.S. pressure is, if true (and whistleblowers rarely come forward to advance their careers), a slow-burning thermonuclear explosion on future global oil production.
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The Great Geopolitical Battle Over Energy Transit Routes
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As we all live in the present, it is very hard to fully assess the future implications of decisions supported or made by political and business leaders. An extraordinary game of geo-strategy is under way to lock...
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Gold: On the Fast Track Toward $1,200?
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Well, the long-expected retest and subsequent breakout of ‘$1,000 Gold’ has finally occurred, with the rally taking the cash price of the metal to the north side of the $1,100 per ounce level in relatively short order.
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Gold, Oil, and the US Dollar
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In this world we are faced with an ever changing landscape. Nowhere is it truer as soon as you learn the game, the rules are changed.
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Trading Gold, Silver, Oil and Gas Using ETFs
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So far this week has been slow in regards to commodity etf funds. Gold continues to shine while silver refuses to make a move higher.
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The Untapped Energy Riches of Uzbekistan
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While many Western investors remain fixated on somehow acquiring a slice of Turkmenistan’s natural gas riches, despite a recent scandal over the country’s actual reserves, there is another country further east whose energy and mineralogical reserves have been overlooked – Uzbekistan.
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Gold and Silver: Where Do We Go From Here?
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Asset markets, whether it is stocks, commodities or precious metals have been dominated recently by their inverse relationship with the US dollar. A recent rally by the dollar has allowed these asset classes to take a...
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Gold, oil, and Gas - and what you should be watching for
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There was a time not so long ago on this planet that obtaining information on gold, be it fundamental, technical or quantitive was a daunting task. From a technical price perspective, if you wanted to look at a chart you had two choices. You could buy the Wall St Journal, get the price, and then draw (yes draw) your
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Commodities & Stocks Ready to Bounce or Rally?
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Commodities and stocks almost look ready for a rally or at least a relief bounce. The market is down over 5% and the normal pullback this year has been 4%. Using technical analysis and inter-market analysis we can see that the market is reaching extreme lows and this usually means we are only a couple days away from a rally.
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Gold, Silver, Oil, Natural Gas ETF Trading
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The past week in gold, silver, oil, natural gas and the broad market wasn’t anything to write home about. We are seeing controlled profit taking which is making the market choppy. Many traders are getting very bearish on the market which is a good thing in my opinion.
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How Are Other Precious Metals Doing?
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Asset inflation has been the main theme of markets for the past few weeks, with stocks, oil and precious metals rising as the US dollar and bonds have been weaker. This is due to the massive and concerted money printing efforts by global central banks and as the recovery picture among G-20 and emerging market economies become more certain.
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Silver Continues to Outperform Gold
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For more than two hundred years, the average of the Gold/Silver price ratio has been about 30 to 1, and more recently (since 1997) the ratio has been...
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Buying Precious Metals On Pullback
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Asset reflation is the talk of the town, with stocks, precious metals and commodities rising and bonds falling the past week. While precious metals have enjoyed a good run, MACD readings are indicating that area patterns are being formed as a much needed...
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Mid-Week GLD, SLV, UNG & USO Trading Charts
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Commodities and stocks have been on fire the past two weeks and I think it just may be time for things to take a breather. While I continue to stay long, taking some money off the table to lock in profits is a safe play.
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Silver: The Wind Beneath its Wings
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A year ago, Silver was in the midst of a severe price correction, one precipitated by the global credit crisis and the massive rush toward liquidation of commodity futures contracts – at any price – that ensued. Silver plunged from nearly $21.00...
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Gold, Crude & Copper – Tis the seasonal to be checking
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As we move into another quarter it is always good to review the seasonal aspects of the market so as to have an idea what (on average) usually happens. The hard assets (and the paper ones too) have amassed quite a rally over the year.
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Will S&P 500 Suffer The Same Fate as Shanghai?
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The S&P 500 today was down over 2%, along with every other broad market index. The bearish divergences in both the ADX line and the MACD for the past few weeks had already portended a move like this. It’s just the massive liquidity in the markets (c...
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The Triple time Frame Breakout in Gold and Nat Gas
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We have been waiting for gold to breakout above the 2008 high for almost 2 years. These charts show we are slowly working our way there.
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Broad Market, US$, Precious Metals & Energy Shift Momentum?
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Today we had a reversal day for the broad market, us dollar, precious metals and oil. The market is over extended. We have seen the market rally 20% since the July low.
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How to Trade Natural Gas, Crude Oil & Gold ETFs
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How to trade hot commodities like natural gas, oil and gold - We should see big moves in the coming weeks as gas bottoms, and oil & gold breakout or breakdown.
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Gold & Silver Technical Trading Charts
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Gold is once again the hot commodity, as the price rises to the $1000 per ounce level. This $1000 - $1033 is a technical pivot point for gold. One of two things is going to take place in the coming weeks.
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How to Swing Trade & Day Trade Spot Gold and GLD Trends
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Over the past couple of months, gold and silver have been uneventful. In this report I have posted weekly charts to show the larger trend of gold and silver. Also I have provided small charts of the US and Canadian gold stock funds GDX and XGD.
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Crude Oil & Natural Gas Technical Charts
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The Energy sector seems to be a mixed bag. The weakness of the US dollar has help to boost the price of oil. Currently crude oil is threatening to break above the June high which will most likely trigger a surge of speculate traders/investors for buy crude oil.
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3 Different Head & Shoulders - 3 Different Investments
Gold Silver and the US Dollar
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Everyone is talking about gold shooting to the moon because of the massive reverse head & shoulders pattern forming, not to mention the economy isn’t as good as some of us would like it to be?. I put together this quick report to show the bearish side of things for once.
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Gold/Oil/Copper -Is it that
time of the year yet?
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Over the past 5 months the markets that crashed have staged a significant comeback. While the stock market usually grabs the headlines, there have been some great commodity runs as well.
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Gold, Euro & HUI
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It’s really getting interesting in the goldmarket. The big question is: “Will Gold break through the US$1000 level and advanced to new alltime highs or will it once again fail while trying ? To be honest: I am still quite sceptic at the moment. I expect another sell off, before Gold can run to new highs, but let’s have look at the charts first.
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Technical Commodity Charts for
Gold, Silver, Oil, Gas & Stocks
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ommodities took a breather last week, while stocks slowly continued their march higher. This week (Monday) commodities moved lower with profit taking and fears of a much larger precious metals and broad market sell off being anticipated in the near future.
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Gold, Silver, Oil & Nat Gas Technical Update
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This week commodities have been moving higher which is exciting. Gold, silver, oil and natural gas all have bullish looking daily and intraday price action. Monday we saw commodities spike higher and profit
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The Big Bounce in Gold, Silver, Oil & Nat Gas
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Last week we saw commodities sell down then put in solid bounce, which allowed us to generate new pivot lows for drawing support trend lines. This is the exact type of price action I have been waiting for.
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The day the Dollar died – and the day Gold was reborn
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Who would have thought that the information age would be so confusing? Given the same set of conditions, man has this tendency to find different interpretations of the same data.
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Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas Technical Trading Setups
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Commodities are trying to hold their ground and could go either way quickly. There is a lot of chatter going on about gold and silver. I am hearing extreme theories from everyone I talk with. Generally when I see the market get jumpy we tend to see volatility increase which translates into sharp rallies or sell offs.
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Gold Mid-Year Seasonal Trend Review July 2009
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During the course of the year, it is always good to sit back and review the current markets you’re involved in. In this manner, one would look at the performance not only from a percentage gain or loss basis, but in the field of seasonality as well.
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What’s up with Silver?
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For years silver bulls have been waiting for the fundamentals of silver to finally take hold of price and catapult it into stratosphere. Alas the fundamentals do not provide a good timing tool for price in the short and intermediate term. Silver is a great example of this.
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Sector Timing Gold, Silver, Oil and Natural Gas
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Sector timing commodities - Being able to trade different sectors is crucial for making a living in today’s financial markets. One sector that cannot be over looked is the commodity sector.
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Trading Commodities the Easy Way
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In the past commodity trading was only available to trader with large accounts, high risk tolerance and a good understanding of how the futures market works.
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GOLD Analysis & Strategy 22th of June 2009
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The correction since the top from US$990 (3rd of June) continued as expected during the last 2 weeks. So far the lows have been seen last Monday at US$925.
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Active Traders Report for Gold, Silver, Oil & Nat Gas
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Precious metals like silver and gold have pulled back to support levels and trending sideways. This week will be interested as we watch prices bounce or breakdown. The energy sector looks be breaking down with more power as the bullish percent index for energy stocks dropped substantially last week.
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What Commodity Is About To Explode Next
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Commodities have been driving up the past few months and now it looks like Natural Gas is going to be joining the party. This report quickly and clearly shows Gold, Silver, Oil, and Natural Gas from a technical trading point of view.
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Gold Stocks and the
HUI:Gold Ratio at Resistance
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Gold stocks have been performing well but I cannot help but notice that the gold sector has reached a major resistance levels on the monthly chart. As much as I would like gold stocks to continue higher we must be ready for a pullback.
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Technical Trading
Update for Gold Traders
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I thought that I would send out a quick update on the gold sector to show where prices stand from a technical point of view for those of your wondering what to do with today’s sell off.
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- Inter-market Analysis
– Say Bye to Gold, Silver, Oil & Equities -
After a 10 week rally traders and investors are starting to think twice about dumping money into stocks. Since March, we have seen the equities market rally 30% and now everyone is starting to think prices are a little top heavy.
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- Credit Crunch success
requires lower Dollar -
How worried should we be? Gold stocks and the stock market continue bleeding. Not a day goes by without fresh cash being injected by some central bank somewhere. Where can we invest a) safely and b) to profit from the volatility?
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- Where have the Bond
Market Mavens gone? -
We’ve been puzzled by the Bond markets performance in the face of a highly inflationist Fed. Where have the bond Mavens gone?
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- Gold Stock Quotes -
A Contrarians Delight -
You gotta love it! CNBC broadcasts
to the world that Golds rally is long
in the tooth and now over...
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- Whisper Targets for the
Amex Gold Bugs Index -
Shhhhhh! Don't look now but the
Amex Gold Bugs Index has blown
through resistance at 401 (the May
2006 high) and made a run to...
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- Using Commodity Prices
as an Inflation Calculator -
Consumer Price Inflation has finally arrived and Gold will have its day in the sun yet...
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- Oil Stocks Versus Current
Oil Prices Revisited -
Natural Gas future prices are on track
for a seasonal low in September. As a
result, Natural Gas Investments look set
to be the next energy cab off the rank.
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- Contrarian Stock Market Investing Guide Part II -
The smartest thing we can say about
the markets right now is probably
nothing. Confusion reigns.
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- Gold Stock Market Quote says BUY -
Weak hands capitulated in a panic sell-off
whilst the fundamentals became even more
bullish. So what's next for Gold Stocks?
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- Natural Gas Future Prices and
Alternative Energy Stocks -
Natural Gas future prices are on track
for a seasonal low in September. As a
result, Natural Gas Investments look set
to be the next energy cab off the rank.
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- Gold & Broad Market
Bear Attack, Be Aware -
Friday the market closed mixed with light volume due to the holiday season. I always use the DOW (DIA) as a market indicator for the overall strength. The chart below shows a simple chart on where the market stands. Currently all the moving averages are trending down or sideways as the market trades at resistance.
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- The Golden Indicator -
I find from time and time that gold stocks tend to lead the price of gold during extreme times and as I mentioned in last weeks report the HUI index has warned us up to 7 days in advance, before gold made sizable drop. Well this week is a perfect example in my opinion.
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- Gold Traders Protect Your Longs -
Gold traders should have exited today as prices are showing strong signs of lower prices in the near future. Gold slid over 4% this week so far, while gold stocks have dropped an average of 9%.
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- Crude Oil Trading Analysis -
Crude Oil is something that I think has huge potential because of its prolonged down trend without any real bounces and also because there is so much interest from traders and investors around the world who want to catch its bounce. The weekly chart is starting to look amazing and the daily chart looks ready to pop.
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